Hype Cycle from Gartner Inc.

Gartner has an interesting Hype Cycle Research methodology that is based on a visualization.

When new technologies make bold promises, how do you discern the hype from what’s commercially viable? And when will such claims pay off, if at all? Gartner Hype Cycles provide a graphic representation of the maturity and adoption of technologies and applications, and how they are potentially relevant to solving real business problems and exploiting new opportunities.

The method assumes a cycle that new technologies take from:

  • Technology Trigger
  • Peack of Inflated Expectations
  • Trough of Disillusionment
  • Slope of Enlightenment
  • Plateau of Productivity

Here is an example from the Wikipedia: