{"id":868,"date":"2005-04-18T21:39:52","date_gmt":"2005-04-19T01:39:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theoreti.ca\/?p=868"},"modified":"2005-04-18T21:39:52","modified_gmt":"2005-04-19T01:39:52","slug":"moores-law-what-if","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/?p=868","title":{"rendered":"Moore&#8217;s Law: What if"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The BBC has a nice little article about that perennial subject, Moore&#8217;s law, that proposes &#8220;the number of transistors on a chip could double every 24 months&#8221;. See <a title=\"BBC NEWS | Science\/Nature | Law that has driven digital life\" href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/science\/nature\/4449711.stm\">Law that has driven digital life<\/a>, by Jo Twist (is that name for real?) The story raises an issue that comes around every &#8230; well &#8230; 24 months &#8211; will Moore&#8217;s law hold as we get to the physical limits of current chip technology.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Even Dr Moore is surprised about the longevity of the observation, but he admits the &#8220;law&#8221; has become a self-fulfilling prophesy.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;m more interested in what would happen if computing ceased to appear to be improving technologically. What would happen if we couldn&#8217;t make faster and smaller computers? What would happen if the culture of computing couldn&#8217;t assume the hardware would improve dramatically and continually? We are addicted to the futurism and hype(r) of computing &#8211; for there to be a slow down would change the subculture.<br \/>\nThen again, will the industry even admit if things did slow down &#8211; if we did hit limits? That&#8217;s the nature of technology &#8211; there is always an improvement in your future.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nFor a link to the original and other papers see <a title=\"Research - Silicon - Moore's Law\" href=\"http:\/\/www.intel.com\/research\/silicon\/mooreslaw.htm\">Research &#8211; Silicon &#8211; Moore&#8217;s Law<\/a> at the Intel site.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The BBC has a nice little article about that perennial subject, Moore&#8217;s law, that proposes &#8220;the number of transistors on a chip could double every 24 months&#8221;. See Law that has driven digital life, by Jo Twist (is that name for real?) The story raises an issue that comes around every &#8230; well &#8230; 24 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/?p=868\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Moore&#8217;s Law: What if<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophy-of-computing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=868"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/868\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}