{"id":8581,"date":"2024-10-28T22:47:37","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T22:47:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/?p=8581"},"modified":"2024-10-28T22:47:37","modified_gmt":"2024-10-28T22:47:37","slug":"metaculus-on-agi-outcomes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/?p=8581","title":{"rendered":"Metaculus on AGI Outcomes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Listening to Jacob Steinhardt on <a href=\"https:\/\/hintonlectures.com\/\">The Hinton Lectures\u2122<\/a> I learned about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metaculus.com\/\">Metaculus<\/a>, which is a forecasting service which is a public benefit company. It has a focus area on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metaculus.com\/questions\/?topic=ai\">AI Progress<\/a> with lots of AI related forecasts, (which seems to be a huge area of interest.) This service coordinates human forecasts and builds infrastructure to facilitate others in forecasting.<\/p>\n<p>Neat!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Listening to Jacob Steinhardt on The Hinton Lectures\u2122 I learned about Metaculus, which is a forecasting service which is a public benefit company. It has a focus area on AI Progress with lots of AI related forecasts, (which seems to be a huge area of interest.) This service coordinates human forecasts and builds infrastructure to &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/?p=8581\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Metaculus on AGI Outcomes<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[74,80,11,60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-artificial-intelligence","category-history","category-internet-culture-and-technology","category-surveillance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8581"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8581\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8582,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8581\/revisions\/8582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}