{"id":1602,"date":"2007-04-26T02:37:23","date_gmt":"2007-04-26T07:37:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theoreti.ca\/?p=1602"},"modified":"2007-04-26T02:38:00","modified_gmt":"2007-04-26T07:38:00","slug":"long-bets-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/?p=1602","title":{"rendered":"Long Bets Now"},"content":{"rendered":"

Have you ever wanted to go on record with a prediction? Would you like put money (that goes to charity) on your prediction? The Long Bets Foundation<\/a> lets you do just that. It is a (partial) spin-off of The Long Now Foundation<\/a> where you can register and make long-term predictions (up to thousands of years, I believe.) The money bet and challenged goes to charity; all you get if you are right is credit and the choice of charity. An example prediction in the text analysis arena is:<\/p>\n

Gregory W. Webster predicts: “That by 2020 a wearable device will be available that will use voice recognition capability and high-volume storage to monitor and index conversations you have or conversations which occur in your vicinity for later searching as supplemental memory.” (Prediction 16<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Some of the other predictions of interest to humanists are: 177<\/a> about print on demand, 179<\/a> about reading on digital devices, and 295<\/a> about a second renaissance.<\/p>\n

The Long Bet has some interesting people making predictions and bets (a prediction becomes a bet when formally challenged) including Ray Kurzweil betting against Mitch Kapor that “By 2029 no computer – or “machine intelligence” – will have passed the Turing Test.” (Bet 1<\/a>) <\/p>\n

Just to make life interesting there is a prediction 137<\/a> that “The Long Bets Foundation will no longer exist in 2104.” 63% of the voters seem to agree!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Have you ever wanted to go on record with a prediction? Would you like put money (that goes to charity) on your prediction? The Long Bets Foundation lets you do just that. It is a (partial) spin-off of The Long Now Foundation where you can register and make long-term predictions (up to thousands of years, … Continue reading Long Bets Now<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,11,28,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-humanities-computing","category-internet-culture-and-technology","category-online-publishing","category-text-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1602\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theoreti.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}